Gartner has recently attended a seminar on “Emerging Technology Hype Cycle 2010: What’s hot & what does not,” presented by Jackie Fenn. Gartner Hype Cycles are considered some of the most prestigious research centers in the field of technology. Here is a brief overview of some of the issues discussed during the seminar. The seminar began with a brief description of how a hype cycle in progress. Reminder: Hype Cycles are the models of management that companies understand the landscape of the maturity of the technology and markets and decide which innovations to adopt, to postpone or ignore, and when the right time to say goodbye. The Hype Cycle by Gartner model was published 15 years ago and has grown at an annual output of 70-80 cycles per year hype.
Jackie Fenn, proceeded through some specialized Hype-cycles, of which the cloud and the Hype Cycle platforms, including the private cloud computing, cloud computing, cloud platforms / web, mobile app store, the flow of activities was discussed and micro- systems on the Internet. Private Cloud Computing is working his way to activate the technology, at the peak of inflated expectations. Fenn says that some industries (eg, governments) to take advantage of cloud computing, but are concerned about the level of security for your data – enter the private cloud. It ‘s also very important point that most of the technologies in Gartner’s Hype cycles are contained nothing new – are ideas that have niche with early adopters, they move to use technologies to be general. Cloud computing has evolved Peak of slipped and makes her way through the curve on the side of the Enlightenment – in other words, cloud computing is exploding! How can we use this information for us as an organization? They are made from the diagram that will see each other highlighted the technology curve – which is expected, the date by which Gartner says that specific technology to achieve widespread acceptance. It is expected that cloud computing will be dominant within 2-5 years.
How we view and interpret this information? A priority matrix will be published next to each cycle of Hype. Arrays are useful for priority setting priorities detailed technology – that are essentially risk / benefit matrix, allowing users to go through the advertising and assess the opportunities of technology in terms of its impact on society and to allow the moment of impact. Check the priority order of new technologies by 2010 in the Gartner Web site. Where we are focusing our initial efforts and resources – such as cloud computing, the vertical axis “expectations” was to “benefit” to us to decide which technologies to invest in the top left is “high priority” technology helps been replaced, cloud / Web platforms, mobile application stores. These are low risk, high-benefit technologies, the mainstream over the next 5 years could be. On the other hand, in the upper right corner, we have the technologies with high potential returns – but also at higher risk. In its present form in 2010, including autonomous vehicles and mobile robots. Do not expect to see these new technologies in the short term, but if they do, have the potential to be of high value. These are the types of technologies that are often ignored – to keep an eye on them, since the former was already in motion with these things.
Cloud computing is a good position to make a priority for organizations in the coming years, more and more, are its risks and benefits. If his position on the Hype Cycle, last year you can see the graduation of the cloud along the curve. You will also find that some technologies such as cloud computing private even on the radar last year, and Gartner shows how fast technology is adopted and mature quickly, the reinforcement of the importance of investing basics of this technology.
